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Made by wlodzimierrr, Codex and Claude • Powered by calibrated XGBoost model trained on UFCStats data

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa

May 16, 2026 • Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Event Accuracy

28.6%

2 / 7

Correct Picks

2

predictions

Incorrect Picks

5

predictions

Avg Confidence

N/A

predicted probability

Fight Results

FightersPredictionProbabilityConfidenceResultAccuracy

Daniel Barez vs Luis Gurule

#5c5458ea-4757-58b7-9483-af2dbdc93876

Luis Gurule

69.4%

Medium

Luis Gurule

decision - R3

✓ Correct

Alice Ardelean vs Polyana Viana

#80573503-ed65-5654-bf47-76c8a7b07d0e

Alice Ardelean

55.5%

Uncertain

⚠ Uncertain

Alice Ardelean

submission - R2

✓ Correct

Arnold Allen vs Melquizael Costa

#8381318b-639a-525a-a723-fb85e62cbf01

Melquizael Costa

50.4%

Uncertain

⚠ Uncertain

Arnold Allen

decision - R5

✗ Incorrect

Ketlen Vieira vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti

#c93d228a-a175-554c-a625-dd166dddf13f

Jacqueline Cavalcanti

55.4%

Uncertain

⚠ Uncertain

Ketlen Vieira

decision - R3

✗ Incorrect

Tuco Tokkos vs Ivan Erslan

#e3f80737-1178-557d-b4d3-1334a7e48684

Tuco Tokkos

55.5%

Uncertain

⚠ Uncertain

Ivan Erslan

decision - R3

✗ Incorrect

Modestas Bukauskas vs Rodolfo Bellato

#e50bde08-61d7-5718-9a69-39e673ffa10a

Rodolfo Bellato

50.2%

Uncertain

⚠ Uncertain

Fighter changed: Modestas Bukauskas vs Christian Edwards

Timmy Cuamba vs Benardo Sopaj

#ed8667ab-279b-5715-8610-8d3c80c9f1c5

Timmy Cuamba

54.4%

Uncertain

⚠ Uncertain

Benardo Sopaj

submission - R2

✗ Incorrect

Shauna Bannon vs Nicolle Caliari

#f8c8e7c0-7875-56af-a22a-80e92127a27d

Shauna Bannon

52.9%

Uncertain

⚠ Uncertain

Nicolle Caliari

submission - R3

✗ Incorrect